Risk and Macro Finance: Frederic Malherbe (LBS)
'Pipeline Risk in Leveraged Loan Syndication'
Leveraged term loans are typically arranged by banks but distributed to institutional investors. Using novel data, we find that to elicit investors’ willingness to pay, arrangers expose themselves to pipeline
risk: They have to retain larger shares when investors are willing to pay less than expected. We argue that the retention of such problematic loans creates a debt overhang problem. Consistent with this, we find that the materialization of pipeline risk for an arranger reduces its subsequent arranging and lending activity.
Aggregate time series exhibit a similar pattern, which suggests that the informational friction we identify could amplify the credit cycle.
To be announced